Tuesday, August 30, 2011

2011 NCAA Conference Previews Part 11

-Pacific 12 Conference-

Predicted Finish

North

1.Oregon
-Oregon is the #3 ranked team in the country but still are not everyone's choice to win the conference. That can be attributed to the Ducks losing a lot of talent in the defensive front 7 and a few pieces on offense like WR Jeff Maehl as well as the hype surrounding Andrew Luck and Stanford. I am not doubting Oregon's ability to repeat however. The team brings back stars in QB Darron Thomas and Heisman candidate RB LaMichael James as well as 3 offensive lineman and receiving threats like Josh Huff, Lavasier Tuinei and David Paulson. Backup RB Kenjon Barner will make plays as will Freshman DeAnthony Thomas. On defense, the Secondary, led by Cliff Harris and John Boyett, will be the strength as the defensive line re-tools. The linebackers might be the biggest surprise to people this season as they are talented and deep at the position. Not only can this team beat LSU the opening weekend, but they are capable of winning the Pac-12 on the way to a 2nd straight trip to the National Championship game.
2.Washington
-I went back and forth with this one but I am going to slide Washington above Stanford. The Huskies finished the year strong last year and now return 8 starters on offense as well as 8 on defense. The offense will replace QB Jake Locker with Keith Price, who I think will do an adequate job, and he will be protected by 4 offensive lineman who started last season. They have a good running back in Chris Polk, he rushed for 1,400 yards last season, and a great receiving duo with Jermaine Kearse and Devin Aguilar. If coach Nick Holt can improve the defense further and QB Keith Price can keep the mistakes to a minimum, the Huskies will surprise a few people. We will see how good this team actually is early as they host Hawaii then travel to play @Nebraska in September.
3.Stanford
-This Stanford team comes into the 2011 season with a lot of buzz. The Cardinal are coming off a 12-1 season led by Heisman Candidate QB Andrew Luck and many expect this team to be a top-10 team all season. With Luck, they also return RB Stephan Taylor and top receiving threats with receiver Chris Owusu and tight end Toby Fleener. The defense brings back 6 starters and expects to have a strong secondary with both safeties returning. Having said that, I am not buying into the Stanford hype. The offensive line loses 3 starters and head coach Jim Harbaugh is now coaching in the NFL. I'm not sure if new coach David Shaw can bring the same intensity, and coaching for that matter, to keep this team overachieving like Harbaugh did. We will see how Stanford can hold up when it visits Arizona in September. The schedule is nice in that it gives the team home-field advantage to play Washington and Oregon.
4.Oregon State
-The Beavers look to bounce back after a disappointing 2010 season and having 9 offensive starters back helps. QB Ryan Katz is back and should be improved with the help of 4 O-lineman and top two receivers back. The problem may come on the defensive side though, as they must rebuild the front 7. This team will never have an easy week in conference and has a tough game @ Wisconsin in week 2.
5.California
-I just can't find too much to be excited about with this Cal Bears team. They lose running back Shane Vereen, need to find a quarterback and are playing their home games somewhere other than home as renovations take place on campus. The schedule isn't too friendly either as they have to go on the road to play Oregon, Washington, Arizona State and Stanford.
6.Washington St.

-I have the Cougars last in the North division but am eager to see how they look this year. Coach Paul Wulff has this team improving and they can no longer be penciled in as an easy win for opposing teams. Quarterback Jeff Tuel is progressing nicely and needs his O-Line to drastically improve so he can throw to his very underrated receivers. The defense also needs to get better this year as it brings back 8 starters.

South

1.Arizona St
-The question will be whether or not the Sun Devils can live up to the hype and their potential this year. The team brings back 10 starters on offense and 8 more starters on defense. The entire O-Line is back and they will have the task of blocking for RB Cameron Marshall and QB Brock Osweiller. Marshall had over 1,000 total yards last year and Osweiller passed for over 600 yards and 5 Touchdowns once he was the go-to QB the last two games of the season. The defense should be good as it is once again led by star linebacker Vontaze Burfict. ASU avoids games with both Stanford and Washington and gets USC at home. The non-conference slate will give a good look at this team as they play Missouri at home and @Illinois in September.
2.USC
-Entering the final year in which they are barred from postseason play, the Trojans will again play for pride and bragging rights. Junior QB Matt Barkley is the undisputed leader on this team and is one of the few big name players. If this team can find a good rotation at O-Line and someone to carry the ball, then Barkley and WR Robert Woods can take care of the passing game. Somewhat shockingly, the USC defense is full of what are pretty much no-name guys but that's not an excuse for them to be as awful as they have been these past two years. Coaches Ed Orgeron and Monte Kiffin will do their best and if they can make this defense look better, USC will approach the 10-win mark this season.They travel to ASU and Oregon but get Utah, Stanford and Washington at home.
3.Utah
-The Utes come into their first season in a BCS conference itching to prove they belong. They return 7 offensive starters, including QB Jordan Wynn and 3 O-linemen, but lose their entire secondary and all but 1 D-lineman. This won't be the best Utah team they've had the last few years but they are blessed with an easier schedule than other PAC-12 teams. Both Stanford and Oregon are not on the schedule and they play Washington and ASU at home.
4.UCLA
-We've all been waiting for UCLA to improve under coach Rick Neheuisel and this might be the year he makes larger strides or is shown the door. UCLA brings back the backfield and receivers from last year along with 3 D-lineman, 2 linebackers and both starting corners. The offensive line will have to replace 4 starters and will hope to figure things out early as the Bruins face Houston and Texas in the seasons' first month. This team can squeak out a bowl appearance and maybe play spoiler in the conference.
5.Arizona
-This won't be the same Arizona team we've seen the last two seasons and it wont be going in the right direction. Only 10 starters come back and the entire offensive line has to be replaced. There are some nice parts with QB Nick Foles, RB Keola Antolin and WR Juron Criner but it simply won't be enough for this team to be successful.
6.Colorado

-Colorado's first season in the PAC-12 looks like it will be a tough one. There are some promising spots with 1,000 yard rusher Rodney Stewart running behind 4 O-linemen from last year but there just isn't enough talent on the rest of the team to make this transition into a new conference a smooth one. The Buffs will have to play all the big boys with homes games against USC and Oregon and road trips to Stanford, Washington and Arizona State.

-Player of the Year-
RB LaMichael James, Oregon

-Best Conference Games-
USC @ Arizona St, Sept 24th
Washington @ Stanford, Oct 22nd
Oregon @ Stanford, Nov 12th
USC @ Oregon, Nov 19th

2011 NCAA Conference Previews Part 10

-Southeastern Conference-

Predicted Finish

-West-

1.Alabama
-Alabama, the #2 ranked team in the country, leads the pack in the tough West division of the SEC. Winning this conference means earning a spot in the national championship and I see the Crimson Tide doing just that. They will have to break in a new quarterback but this team isn't that different from the 2009 team that won the title. The defense returns 10 starters and the offense gets back Heisman hopeful running back Trent Richardson behind 4 O-line starters from last year. The schedule is not as bad as it could be as they get both Arkansas and LSU at home in Tuscaloosa.
2.LSU
-There is uncertainty around QB Jordan Jefferson and athlete Russell Shepherd but that is not enough to keep me from picking them to finish 2nd. While I don't think they have enough offense to beat Alabama, the defense should carry them in SEC play.
3.Arkansas
-If 2010 SEC rushing leader Knile Davis was around for this season, I would have this team in the #2 spot but his season ending inury in fall camp changes things. I don't think they can win this conference but they will be a very good team who can shake things up. QB Ryan Mallett is now in the NFL, but Tyler Wilson could be a rising star with receivers like Greg Childs, Jairus Wright, and Joe Adams to throw to. The return of 8 defenders is a positive sign for this years team as well.
4.Mississippi St.
-Mississippi St. is slotted in the 4th spot but that doesn't mean this team isnt about to be really good this year. The fact that the Bulldogs are the 2oth ranked team nationally,but still not ranked as high as Alabama, LSU or Arkansas, shows how tough the SEC west will be. The offense will be in good shape led by QB Chris Relf and RB Vic Ballard and 7 other returning starters on that side of the ball. The defense should be stout with 7 players back and the schedule brings LSU and Alabama to Mississippi St.
5.Auburn
-Auburn is ranked in the preseason Top 25 but do not expect them to stay there. The defending National Champions will have a hard time competing in the SEC without players like Heisman winning QB Cam Newton and D-End Nick Fairley. The running back corps has talent but replacing 4 starters on the offensive line doesn't help. The schedule doesn't do this team any favors either as the Tigers are sent on the road to play South Carolina, Arkansas, and LSU.
6.Ole Miss

-The offensive line and running backs will be the strength of this team but it won't matter much with a new QB and only 4 starters returning to a bad defense.

-East-

1.South Carolina
-The Steve Spurrier led Gamecocks should be the favorite in the SEC East thanks to a cast of good players returning. Veteran QB Stephen Garcia returns as does star WR Alshon Jeffrey and RB Marcus Lattimore, who is coming off a stellar freshman season. If the defense can be decent, this team will finish ahead of Georgia and Florida.
2.Georgia
-This slot for Georgia has just as much to do with the team as it does the schedule. While the Bulldogs don't have a ton of talent, they benefit from avoiding games against Alabama, Arkansas and LSU and getting South Carolina at home. If returning QB Aaron Murray can play well, this team can realistically finish in the top 2 of the SEC East.
3.Florida
-The reason Florida is not higher is not only are they breaking a new coaching staff but only 10 starters total return from last years team that wasn't all that great. It will be interesting to see the impact coordinator Charlie Weiss has on QB John Brantley, RB Chris Rainey and the rest of the offense. This team does not avoid Alabama as Georgia does and they will have to play LSU and South Carolina on the road.
4.Tennessee
-The young players that went through their growing pains last season will now have the advantage of game experience on their side. QB Tyler Bray and RB Tauren Poole will be good and so will an O-line who returns 4 starters. The Vols won't yet be as good as they can be with this young talent but they will take a step in the right direction.
5.Kentucky
-2nd year Head Coach Joker Phillips loses a lot of offensive talent but he will hope the 11 defensive starters that return can carry the team early and help the Wildcats make the postseason.
6.Vanderbilt

-19 starters come back from the 2010 team but don't expect this team to move from the bottom of the SEC. The Commodores will just hope for improvement.

-Player of the Year-
RB Trent Richardson, Alabama

-Best Conference Games-
South Carolina @ Georgia, Sept 10th
LSU @ Mississippi St, Sept 15th
LSU @ Alabama, Nov 5th
Alabama @ Mississippi St, Nov 12th
Arkansas @ LSU, Nov 25th

2011 NCAA Conference Previews Part 9

-Big East Conference-

Predicted Finish

1.West Virginia
-Head Coach Dana Holgorsen brings his spread offense from Oklahoma state and looks to be leading a favorite in the Big East. The Mountaineers bring back QB Geno Smith and experienced O-line to make the transition to a new offense easier. The defense has only 5 starters back but that includes sack specialist Bruce Irvin. This isn't a great team but it still looks better than the other teams in this conference.
2.South Florida
- Underachieving QB BJ Daniels returns to this Bulls team in Skip Holtz second season as head coach looking to improve and live up to his potential. The Bulls get the bulk of their defense back and add Colorado transfer Darell Scott at running back. While the O-line will need some work, I think this team will be able to challenge for the conference title.
3.Pittsburgh
-With 8 defensive starters back along with QB Tino Sunseri and RB Ray Graham, the Pit Panthers should field a good team this year. If Coach Graham can make this offense look anywhere close to his offenses at Tulsa, then the Big East will have to watch out.
4.Cincinnati
-I have Cincy in the 4th spot but that may be too low, especially with QB Zac Collaros and the entire defense returning.
5.Syracuse
6.Connecticut
7.Louisville
8.Rutgers


-Player of the Year-
RB Isiah Pead, Cincinnati

-Best Conference Games-
Cincinnati @ South Florida, Oct 22nd
Pittsburgh @ West Virginia, Nov 24th
West Virginia @ South Florida, Dec 1st

Monday, August 29, 2011

2011 NCAA Conference Previews Part 8

-Big Ten Conference-

Predicted Finish

Leaders Division

1.Wisconsin
-Wisconsin loses its starting QB and leading rusher from last year's Rose Bowl team but I still expect them to win the leaders divison. QB Russell Wilson, who transferred from NC State, will be a big boost and the running back corps will still be above average with Montee Ball and James White carrying the ball. There are a few holes but the Badgers will be big, strong and successful this season.
2.Ohio State
-Ohio State has to replace a hall of fame coach, a dual threat experienced QB and have to deal with the suspensions of 4 important players for the first half of the season. Yet, the Buckeyes will still be good. By the time conference play arrives this team should have figured enough questions out to go through the season and finish in the top two of the leaders division.
3.Illinois
4.Penn St
5.Purdue
6.Indiana


Legends Division

1.Nebraska
-Nebraska enter their first season in the Big 10 as one of the favorites to win the whole conference. Leading the offense is electric QB Taylor Martinez while DE Jared Crick leads on the defensive side. While not a slam dunk #1 pick, the Huskers should have a very successful year.
2.Michigan St
-Michigan St. doesn't have flashy guy like Taylor Martinez at QB , but Kirk Cousins is more than capable to lead to his team to a very successful season. The run game will be held down by back Edwin Baker and the defense will have some very solid players. The schedule, however, is a tough one.
3.Northwestern
4.Iowa
5.Michigan
6.Minnesota


-Player of the Year-
RB Edwin Baker, Michigan State

-Best Conference Games-
Nebraska @ Wisconsin, Oct 1st
Ohio St. @ Nebraska, Oct 8th
Wisconsin @ Ohio St, Oct 29th
Michigan St. @ Iowa, Nov 12th

Michigan ST. @ Northwestern Nov 26th

2011 NCAA Conference Previews Part 7

-Big 12 Conference-

Predicted Finish

1.Oklahoma
-The Sooners go into this season as the #1 ranked team in the country and so they are clearly the favorite in the Big 12. QB Landry Jones returns as an early Heisman candidate and he will have star WR Ryan Broyles and soon to be star receiver Kenny Stills to throw to. Four offensive lineman come back too and the defense looks solid, albeit not great though. While I don't think they will keep their #1 national ranking, I do expect this team to win the conference.
2.Texas A&M
-Placing someone in this #2 spot was tough as I do think both Oklahoma St. and Missouri are capable of being here but I decided to go with the Aggies. The defense should be in the upper half of the conference while the offense gets back QB Ryan Tannehill, explosive receiver Jeff Fuller and 1,000 yard rusher Cyrus Gray.
3.Oklahoma St
-The QB/WR combination of Brandon Weeden and Justin Blackmon have a lot of people very excited about this team this year and for good reason. Weeden put up big numbers last year and Blackmon is probably the best receiver in all of college football. The 5 returning O-Linemen help the expectations stay high but there are a few holes to fill. Not only does the team lose offensive coordiantor Dana Holgerson but only 2 starters are back from the defensive front 7. If the offense can improve rather than take a step back under new coaching and the defense can just be decent, then look out for this team.
4.Missouri
-Quarterback Blaine Gabbert is gone and so is defensive star Aldon Smith but this team still may be better than many think. The O-line stay in tact and all the receivers return while the defense should be decent. New QB James Franklin will be the x-factor as he has the potential to be above average.
5.Texas
6.Texas Tech
7.Kansas St.
8.Baylor
9.Iowa St
10.Kansas

-Player of the Year-
QB Landry Jones, Oklahoma

-Best Conference Games-
Oklahoma St. @ Texas A&M, Sept 24th
Missouri @ Texas A&M, Oct 29th
Oklahoma @ Oklahoma St, Dec 3rd

2011 NCAA Conference Previews Part 6

-Atlantic Coast Conference-

Predicted Finish

-Atlantic Division-

1.Florida State
-The Seminoles enter this year with high expectations with 17 returning starters and promising QB EJ Manuel taking over the offense. While I do like this team to win the Atlantic Division, I don't think they can live up to their top 10 ranking and be a contender on the national level.
2.Clemson
-Clemson is coming off a disappointing season under Coach Dabo Swinney but looks to improve with 16 starters coming back and former 5 star recruit Taj Boyd now starting at Quarterback. A nice schedule and good offensive weapons will help this team.
3.NC State
4.Boston College
5.Maryland
6.Wake Forest


-Coastal Division-

1.Virginia Tech
-The Hokies have to replace a lot of players but I think the 12 returners will be able to be enough to win the coastal division. Look for RB David Wilson to step into the starting role and make some electric plays.
2.North Carolina
- UNC fired their Coach right before fall camp and they lose a lot of players but I still like them better than Miami at this point. If there is an upside of all the suspensions to key Tar Heels players last year is that many young player got valuable experience. This team may be better than people think
3.Miami
4.Georgia Tech
5.Virginia
6.Duke


-Player of the Year-
RB David Wilson, Virginia Tech

-Best Conference Games-
Florida St. @ Clemson, Sept 24th
Miami @ North Carolina, Oct 15th
North Carolina @ Virginia Tech, Nov 17th




2011 NCAA Conference Previews Part 5

-Mountain West Conference-

Predicted Finish

1.Boise State
-Sure the Broncos lose their top two receivers to the NFL and are now playing in a more competitive conference but they will still be able to end up on top. They return star QB Kellen Moore, talented RB Doug Martin and will start 7 seniors in the front 7 of the defense. Add the 3 returning Offensive lineman and this team will be in for another good season.
2.TCU
-I think TCU is a bit overrated coming into this year but i just can't put them any lower than #2 in this conference. They only return 8 total starters but RB Ed Wesley and new QB Casey Pahcall may be able to carry this team along with defenders Tank Carder and Tanner Brock.
3.San Diego State
-I really like this Aztecs team and might have them above TCU if it werent for Coach Brady Hoke bolting for the Michigan job and the team having to replace their top two receivers and 6 defenders. Having said that, they do return 4 offensive lineman who will have the task of blocking for a great duo of QB Ryan Lindley and Freshman All-American RB Ronnie Hillman. SDSU has the advantage of playing both Boise St. and TCU at home this year and I would not be shocked to see them win atleast one of those games and make some noise in this conference.
4.Air Force
-Air Force will again put up massive rushing numbers with their option attack behind 3 veteran O-lineman and QB Tim Jefferson running the show and the defense, returning 8 starters, should be decent.
5.Wyoming
6.Colorado State
7.UNLV
8.New Mexico


-Player of the Year-
QB Kellen Moore, Boise State

-Best Conference Games-
TCU @ SDSU, Oct 8th
TCU @ Boise St, Nov 12th
Boise St @ SDSU, Nov 19th
Air Force @ Colorado St, Nov 26th

2011 NCAA Conference Previews Part 4

-Western Athletic Conference-

Predicted Finish

1.Hawaii
-Hawaii loses its top RB from last year, its top 3 receivers and all but 1 offensive lineman but I am still picking them to win the conference. QB Bryan Moniz is back and will help the offense progress and the defense that was pretty good last year will have to carry this team early with the entire front 7 returning.
2.Nevada
-Nevada had a magical year last season but after losing now NFL QB Colin Kapernick and RB Vai Tau, it will be much harder to replicate that success. The schedule does look favorable and the defensive back 7 looks decent enough to keep this team from slipping too far.
3.Fresno State
-Coach Pat Hill is still here and that alone is a good sign. If RB Robbie Rouse and incoming QB Derek Carr can be productive, this team should be decent.
4.Idaho
-This team loses some important pieces from last year but this team may be a bit of a surprise. Eight defensive starters return, the O-line includes two senior tackles and the team now has RB Ryan Bass who transferred from Arizona State.
5.Louisiana Tech
6.San Jose St
7.New Mexico St
8.Utah St

-Player of the Year-
QB Bryan Moniz, Hawaii

-Best Conference Games-
Fresno St. @ Idaho, Sept 24th
Hawaii @ Nevada, Nov 12th

2011 NCAA Conference Previews Part 3

-Conference USA-

Predicted Finish
EAST

1.Central Florida
-UCF ended last year on a great note and i think that momentum along with the return of QB Jeff Goddfrey and RB Latavius Murray will help them win the East division.
2.Southern Mississippi
-I think Southern Miss has the potential to make some noise in this division and that has a lot to do with dual threat Quarterback Austin Davis. If the defense can improve, watch out for this team.
3.East Carolina
4.Marshall
5.UAB
6.Memphis


WEST

1.Tulsa
-I think this West division is full of good teams but i expect Tulsa to be the team to come out on top. This team returns QB GJ Kinne behind the entire offensive line from last year as well as All-American receiver Damaris Johnson. If the defense plays better than Houston's defense then this team will celebrating a conference title.
2.Houston
-It is not easy to pick against QB Case Keenum, a guy who puts up Heisman type numbers, but the departure of 3 offensive lineman and a defense that gives up too many big plays is the reason i have them at #2. Having said that, with good receivers and a star back in Bryce Beall, this Houston Cougars is more than capable of taking this conference.
3.SMU
4.Rice
5.Tulane
6.Utep


-Player of the Year-
QB Case Keenum, Houston

-Best Conference Games-
Tulsa @ UCF, November 5th
Houston @ Tulsa, November 26th

2011 NCAA Conference Previews Part 2

-Sun Belt Conference-

Predicted Finish

1.Florida International
-FIU returns all their offensive stars including Sun Belt Player of the Year WR TY Hilton and i expect that to make this team the favorite. It also helps that they face Troy at home this year
2.Troy
-I have this team finishing second but it is a squad that is more than capable to win the conference. Their starting QB returns and so do 8 defensive starters.
3.Louisiana Monroe
4.Arkansas State
5.Florida Atlantic
6.North Texas
7.Middle Tennessee State
8.Western Kentucky
9.Louisiana Lafayette


-Player of the year-
QB Troy Robinson, Troy

Friday, August 26, 2011

2011 NCAA Conference Preview Part 1

-Mid American Conference-

Predicted Finish
-East Division-

1.Temple
-The Temple Owls seem to be the leaders in a mediocre East division even after Coach Al Golden left for the Miami (FL) job. The Owls return 7 offensive starters and can rely on running backs Bernard Pierce and Matt Brown. Pierce alone has rushed for over 2,000 yards with 26 Tds over the last two seasons. They will go with a decent QB and the defense should be decent even after losing a few good players.
2.Miami (OH)
-The defending MAC Champs come into this season with a solid defense and some nice offensive pieces.
3.Ohio
4.Kent St.
5.Buffalo
6.Bowling Green
7.Akron


-West Division-

1.Toledo
-This Toledo team returns 9 starters on each the offense and defense, including offensive standout Eric Paige, and should be the favorite to win the West division.
2.Northern Illinois
-The biggest concern for this team will be the defense, which only returns two starters, but the Huskies might be able to overcome that if the offense comes through. Coming back is 2010 All-MAC QB Chandler Harnish protected by all 5 returning O-linemen, 3 of which were also All-MAC selections.
3.Western Michigan
4.Ball State
5.Central Michigan
6.Eastern Michigan



-Player of the Year-
WR/KR Eric Paige, Toledo



Official NCAA football preseason rankings

-AP TOP 25-
RKTEAMRECORDPTS
1Oklahoma (36)0-01464
2Alabama (17)0-01439
3Oregon (4)0-01330
4LSU (1)0-01286
5Boise State (2)0-01200
6Florida State0-01168
7Stanford0-01091
8Texas A&M0-0965
9Oklahoma State0-0955
10Nebraska0-0910
11Wisconsin0-0900
12South Carolina0-0848
13Virginia Tech0-0821
14TCU0-0690
15Arkansas0-0686
16Notre Dame0-0530
17Michigan State0-0519
18Ohio State0-0443
19Georgia0-0369
20Mississippi State0-0361
21Missouri0-0258
22Florida0-0228
23Auburn0-0219
24West Virginia0-0207
25USC0-0160

-USA Today Poll-
RKTEAMRECORDPTS
1Oklahoma (42)0-01454
2Alabama (13)0-01414
3Oregon (2)0-01309
4LSU (2)0-01296
5Florida State0-01116
6Stanford0-01101
7Boise State0-01065
8Oklahoma State0-0933
9Texas A&M0-0885
10Wisconsin0-0829
11Nebraska0-0814
12South Carolina0-0779
13Virginia Tech0-0767
14Arkansas0-0750
15TCU0-0687
16Ohio State0-0631
17Michigan State0-0536
18Notre Dame0-0440
19Auburn0-0329
20Mississippi State0-0301
21Missouri0-0266
22Georgia0-0260
23Florida0-0240
24Texas0-0162
25Penn State0-0161

College Football is back and the blog is too!

With college football 6 days away and the NFL not too much longer than that, this blog will be back at 100%. Look for previews of NCAA and NFL football soon